8
Via Della Spiga
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |