4
Floyness
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 58
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |