3

Ma Rose De Sarthe

4yo Filly · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Du Bar Des Sports - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cholet 13/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/05C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Pontchateau 21/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/12C?5 @ Nantes 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 021/0254 @ Les Sables 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/0745 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/075projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Le Mans56th6th0
2026-07-11Les Sables47th7th0
2026-02-21Nantes51st1st0
2025-12-21Pontchateau?1st1st0
2025-05-25Chateaubriant?8th8th0
2025-05-13Cholet?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0525/0521/1221/0211/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
25/05/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
21/12/20251st18/15%100%+0.95
21/02/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
11/07/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
25/07/20266th5/287%62%-0.25