3

Ma Rose De Sarthe
4yo Filly · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Du Bar Des Sports - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Chateaubriant | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 62% | -0.25 |