9

Marvelous Piya

4yo Filly · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Du Bar Des Sports - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 021/03C?C0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Caen 17/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 017/05C?C0 @ Amiens 26/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 01/07C?5 @ Vincennes 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 04/03C?C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 0C0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 022/06C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Caen?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?0
2026-04-01Angers?1st1st0
2026-03-04Amiens?2nd2nd0
2026-01-30Vincennes53rd3rd0
2025-12-20Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0326/054/0322/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20258th50/10%36%+0.36
26/04/20252nd20/10%91%+0.91
17/05/20254th5/174%70%-0.04
26/05/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
01/07/20254th13/266%73%+0.07
30/01/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
04/03/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
01/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
22/06/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21