5

Leader Boy

5yo Colt · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 26/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13226/11C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Angers 10/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 010/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 09/12C?4 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/0145 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/0555 @ Laval 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/065projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Laval55th5th0
2026-05-21Le Mans57th7th0
2026-01-06Vincennes46th6th0
2025-12-09Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-11-29Vincennes?0
2025-11-07Laval?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/119/1211/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20248th11/271%36%-0.35
25/05/20251st2/598%100%+0.02
10/06/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
09/12/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
06/01/20266th11/1094%50%-0.44
21/05/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
11/06/20265th50/10%64%+0.64