3
Lewis D'alexiane
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 05/05/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 73% | -0.15 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.15 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.01 |
| 16/12/2025 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |