8

Lord De Brion

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chatelaillon 28/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 028/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 010/09C?C0 @ Angers 01/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Saint Brieuc 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 030/044C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 030/06C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Vichy?4th4th0
2026-05-28Meslay Du Maine?7th7th0
2026-05-10Chatelaillon?0
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc48th8th0
2025-12-21Vincennes?4th4th0
2025-11-18Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/071/1030/0430/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20254th4/179%75%-0.04
21/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
10/09/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
01/10/20259th33/10%47%+0.47
03/11/20252nd4/179%93%+0.14
21/12/20254th6/492%79%-0.14
30/04/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
28/05/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
30/06/20264th9/488%77%-0.11