11

Lord Sun Draliam

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 13/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 013/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 18/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/12C?C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 018/01C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/05C?C0 @ Vichy 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 143C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 14330/06C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?4th4th0
2026-06-10Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-01Nantes?0
2026-05-21Le Mans50
2026-05-11Argentan?7th7th0
2026-04-25Caen50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/105/1111/0530/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20243rd33/10%80%+0.80
22/10/20244th18/15%79%+0.73
18/12/20247th7/163%57%-0.06
05/11/20253rd80/10%87%+0.87
18/01/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
24/03/20267th80/10%54%+0.54
11/05/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
10/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
30/06/20264th5/174%75%+0.01