9

Lui Du Donjon

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 29/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/10C?5 @ Nantes 13/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Laval 11/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/03C?C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 0C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03/06C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Enghien50
2026-06-03Laval?12th12th0
2026-04-01Angers?4th4th0
2026-03-11Laval?4th4th0
2026-02-13Nantes57th7th0
2025-10-06Enghien?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/079/0911/033/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20259th66/10%53%+0.53
06/08/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
20/08/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
09/09/20253rd4/696%80%-0.16
06/10/20259th10/1195%47%-0.49
13/02/20267th100/10%57%+0.57
11/03/20264th40/10%73%+0.73
01/04/20264th11/142%77%+0.35
03/06/202612th125/10%15%+0.15