4
Luxury Du Douarou
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Henri Desmontils / Mtm - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.03 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 94% | +0.28 |