12

Hudson Baie
9yo Mare · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Yves Rocher - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 21/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |