12

Hudson Baie

9yo Mare · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Yves Rocher - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 27/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/11C?C0 @ Pornichet 24/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 10/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 010/10C?C0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/054C0 @ Cholet 09/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/075projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet54th4th0
2026-06-09Cholet?11th11th0
2026-05-02Vincennes412th12th0
2026-02-18Laval?9th9th0
2025-10-10Marseille-borely?7th7th0
2025-09-21Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1121/092/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
24/07/20253rd12/137%83%+0.46
16/08/20253rd22/10%85%+0.85
21/09/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
10/10/20257th28/10%57%+0.57
18/02/20269th100/10%43%+0.43
02/05/202612th16/116%27%+0.11
09/06/202611th66/10%29%+0.29
23/07/20264th40/10%75%+0.75