7

Irafara

8yo Mare · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Yves Rocher - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 13/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14313/03C?C0 @ Caen 26/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Cabourg 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 04/07C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 15/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vire 01/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 01/09C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-10Caen?0
2026-05-18Vire?0
2026-05-03La Capelle?3rd3rd0
2026-04-16Enghien70
2026-03-25Caen?0
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0316/071/093/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20252nd6/492%91%-0.01
26/03/20255th4/179%67%-0.12
04/07/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
16/07/202510th10/382%36%-0.47
25/07/20253rd5/287%87%-0.00
15/08/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
01/09/20259th3/184%50%-0.34
16/03/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92
03/05/20263rd7/163%85%+0.21