5

Joker Castiluanne

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Yves Rocher - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#13

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/01C?C0 @ Laval 05/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 04/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 23/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06 @ Nantes 12/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 012/016projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-12Nantes66th6th0
2025-11-10Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-10-23Cabourg?9th9th0
2025-09-21Vincennes?4th4th0
2025-09-11Mauquenchy?8th8th0
2025-07-25Cabourg?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0125/0723/1012/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20254th14/126%80%+0.54
05/02/20253rd6/168%83%+0.15
04/04/20253rd16/116%82%+0.66
25/07/202510th15/261%40%-0.21
11/09/20258th10/147%22%-0.25
21/09/20254th14/126%79%+0.52
23/10/20259th28/10%38%+0.38
10/11/20258th18/15%42%+0.36
12/01/20266th10/147%55%+0.07