11

Red D'over

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Laiterie De Saint-malo-groupe Sill - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 23/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Reims 09/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 09/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 16/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 06/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/09C?5 @ Vincennes 13/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/02C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 022/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Enghien?7th7th0
2026-06-27Enghien?7th7th0
2026-02-22Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-01-13Vincennes51st1st0
2025-09-06Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-07-23Enghien?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0116/0522/0222/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/01/20256th16/116%64%+0.48
23/02/20253rd11/142%87%+0.45
09/04/202511th13/266%23%-0.43
16/05/20257th66/10%54%+0.54
06/09/20258th14/126%30%+0.04
13/01/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
22/02/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
27/06/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
22/07/20267th40/10%60%+0.60