4
Heureux De Fleur
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-23 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2023 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 12/11/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 28/11/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 13/12/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/01/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 94% | +0.20 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |