8
Homard Land
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 94% | +0.10 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 24/01/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |