14
Horatius D'ela
9yo Horse · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 29/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |