10

L'as Desbois

5yo Colt · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 26/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/09C?C0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 028/0211 @ Vincennes 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/051projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02Vincennes12nd2nd0
2026-04-11Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-02-28Vincennes12nd2nd0
2026-02-08Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-06Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-11-22Vincennes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0922/1128/022/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20256th17/255%29%-0.27
01/11/20253rd14/126%87%+0.60
15/11/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
22/11/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
06/12/20256th8/158%55%-0.03
08/02/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
28/02/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
11/04/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
02/05/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22