2
Lemon Tree
5yo Colt · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#12
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 16/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 22/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 76% | +0.21 |