1

Lunella Leman

5yo Filly · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Grand National Du Trot-ville De St-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cherbourg 18/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 01/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 020/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 31/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/0111 @ Vincennes 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 021/06C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-05-13Vincennes?0
2026-04-11Vincennes11st1st0
2026-01-31Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-01-18Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-20Vincennes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0829/1131/0121/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20253rd28/10%86%+0.86
06/09/20252nd9/153%89%+0.36
01/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
29/11/20255th11/142%50%+0.08
20/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
18/01/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
31/01/20263rd5/174%80%+0.06
11/04/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
21/06/20266th11/271%64%-0.07