8

His Dream De Cahot

9yo Gelding · 10-3

Saint-Malo · Prix Jacques Giboire - Monte · 1m 6f 146y

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 20/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14320/08C?C0 @ Laval 15/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12826/10C?C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 20/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14320/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1433 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13225/013C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1433 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14325/073projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Enghien35th5th0
2026-06-13Enghien30
2026-05-09Caen20
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?8th8th0
2026-03-06Enghien30
2026-01-25Vincennes310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/085/1125/0125/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20253rd20/10%78%+0.78
15/09/20253rd9/488%83%-0.05
26/10/20254th12/137%70%+0.33
05/11/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
20/11/20257th11/142%40%-0.02
14/01/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43
25/01/202610th12/137%36%-0.01
22/04/20268th20/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20265th40/10%71%+0.71