8

His Dream De Cahot
9yo Gelding · 10-3
Saint-Malo · Prix Jacques Giboire - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |