4
Kephyr D'este
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Saint-Malo · Prix Jacques Giboire - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-20 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2024 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 29/10/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/11/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 08/12/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 20/02/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |