3
Kristale D'erable
6yo Mare · 10-3
Saint-Malo · Prix Jacques Giboire - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/11/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |