11

Iron Man

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Renault Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 18/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 018/07C?C0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 016/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 29/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 04/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 04/10C?C0 @ Amiens 09/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 014/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 021/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2026-06-14Cherbourg?7th7th0
2025-12-09Amiens?4th4th0
2025-11-20Graignes?0
2025-10-04Cabourg?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0729/0714/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20241st7/491%100%+0.09
08/06/20257th14/126%45%+0.19
16/07/202512th12/137%21%-0.15
29/07/202513th20/10%14%+0.14
04/10/202510th22/10%40%+0.40
09/12/20254th4/179%67%-0.12
14/06/20267th25/10%63%+0.63
07/07/20263rd11/142%87%+0.45
21/07/20262nd7/282%93%+0.12