10

Ismir De L'ormerie

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Renault Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#9

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 27/05/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 12127/05C?C0 @ Les Sables 21/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 06/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 06/11C?C0 @ Pontchateau 22/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Pontchateau 02/01/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 02/01C?C0 @ Pontchateau 07/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cholet 13/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/05C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Cabourg?8th8th0
2026-06-08Amiens?0
2025-10-09Enghien?0
2025-06-08Saint-Malo?8th8th0
2025-05-13Cholet?4th4th0
2025-03-07Pontchateau?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0522/1213/057/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20248th20/10%22%+0.22
21/10/20244th100/10%81%+0.81
06/11/20245th14/126%73%+0.47
22/12/20248th28/10%59%+0.59
02/01/202512th20/10%35%+0.35
07/03/20252nd16/116%92%+0.76
13/05/20254th25/10%81%+0.81
08/06/20258th20/10%50%+0.50
07/07/20268th11/271%53%-0.18