5
Joker Bodensee
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Renault Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 22/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 15/11/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 85% | -0.05 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |