3

Kanelle

6yo Mare · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Renault Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#11

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/02C?C0 @ Caen 17/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 07/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 07/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 025/10C?C0 @ Amiens 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 09/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 09/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Caen 12/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14312/035projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Cabourg?0
2026-03-12Caen59th9th0
2026-02-11Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-12-09Amiens?5th5th0
2025-11-26Amiens?3rd3rd0
2025-10-25Cabourg?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/028/079/1212/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20256th8/158%67%+0.09
17/03/20254th22/10%81%+0.81
07/04/20256th10/382%55%-0.28
08/07/20258th66/10%53%+0.53
25/10/202511th14/126%33%+0.07
26/11/20253rd15/261%85%+0.24
09/12/20255th4/179%43%-0.36
11/02/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
12/03/20269th66/10%47%+0.47