7

Kirwan Thoris

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Saint-Malo · Prix Renault Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 12/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Argentan 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 23/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 023/07C?C0 @ Enghien 03/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 26/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?C0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 24/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/02C?C0 @ Caen 05/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 04 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 024/074projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cabourg47th7th0
2026-03-05Caen?13th13th0
2026-02-24Mauquenchy?14th14th0
2025-10-23Cabourg?0
2025-09-25Laval?10th10th0
2025-08-26La Capelle?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/053/0824/0224/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20254th14/126%70%+0.44
25/05/20255th5/174%71%-0.02
23/07/20254th18/15%73%+0.67
03/08/20255th20/10%64%+0.64
26/08/202510th9/153%25%-0.28
25/09/202510th22/10%40%+0.40
24/02/202614th50/10%19%+0.19
05/03/202613th80/10%25%+0.25
24/07/20267th66/10%50%+0.50