8
Nolio Du Barbey
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Saint-Malo · Prix Andre Carrus / Ds Store Saint-malo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 02/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |