Fil Dor
8yo Gelding · 11-4
Saratoga · Race 1 - A. P. Smithwick Memorial Handicap - Grade 1 · 2m 3f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Far Hills | ? | +1 | ||
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-04-20 | Cork | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aintree | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-01 | Navan | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2024 | 1st | 1/40 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 21/12/2024 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 19/01/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 05/02/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 01/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 20/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |