13
Chris's Song
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 67
Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength66%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |