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14

Mo Curls

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 68

Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 09/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C7C6 @ Aqueduct 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 76 parC9 @ Aqueduct 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m 119 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 82 par11/12C9OR 82C6 @ Aqueduct 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 71 par22/03C6OR 71C6 @ Aqueduct 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 72 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 75 par10/05C6OR 75C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 70 par13/07C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2026-05-10Belmont At The Big A?6th3rd+3
2026-04-18Aqueduct?5th2nd+3
2026-03-22Aqueduct?2nd-1th+3
2026-02-14Aqueduct?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1014/0210/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength98%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20257th11/271%0%-0.71
21/11/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
11/12/20252nd4/596%80%-0.16
14/02/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
22/03/20262nd20/10%75%+0.75
18/04/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
10/05/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
20/06/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
13/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02