
Vitalize
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 69
Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-01-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 01/12/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/12/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 25/04/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 02/05/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |