1
Empress New Groove
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 07/12/2025 | 9th | 13/8 | 91% | 11% | -0.80 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |