4
Flowers For Me
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength1%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |