1

Relaxx

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 99

Saratoga · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.1
Today:
Class gap: +3.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Deauville 08/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS8/04C11 @ Chantilly 06/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Chantilly 01/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS1/06C?C1 @ Chantilly 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/07C1C1 @ Deauville 16/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Chantilly 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m208y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/09C1C5 @ Aqueduct 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 103 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 103 par21/06C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2026-04-17Aqueduct?5th4th+1
2025-09-20Chantilly?3rd-3th+5
2025-08-16Deauville?2nd-4th+5
2025-07-20Chantilly?3rd-3th+5
2025-06-28Chantilly?1st-5th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0428/0620/0921/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20257th16/116%25%+0.09
06/05/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
01/06/20254th18/15%57%+0.52
28/06/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
20/07/20253rd11/486%60%-0.26
16/08/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
20/09/20253rd4/179%85%+0.06
17/04/20265th13/266%20%-0.46
21/06/20262nd7/491%80%-0.11