4
Ramajay
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94
Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |