Unauthorized
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Saratoga · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |