3
Camino
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72
Saratoga · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |