5
Lough Currane
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 62
Saratoga · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |