Brisbane
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 100
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2023-02-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2022 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 27/08/2022 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/02/2023 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 08/04/2023 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/10/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |