Gowells Delight
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 93
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 26/06/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |