5
Marketplaceofideas
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 93
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-03-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |