8

Miss Enchanted

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 83

Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saratoga 31/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2024 · OR 87 par31/08C5OR 87C6 @ Keeneland 09/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark09/10/2024 · OR 87 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 27/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 92 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark27/11/2024 · OR 92 par27/11C6OR 92C6 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 92 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark12/03/2025 · OR 92 parC6 @ Keeneland 13/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark13/04/2025 · OR 93 par13/04C6OR 93C6 @ Churchill Downs 24/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Gulfstream 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 91 par15/02C6OR 91C6 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 91 par28/06C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-03-26Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-02-15Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2025-05-24Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2025-04-13Keeneland?3rd3rd0
2025-03-12Gulfstream?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0812/0315/0228/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
09/10/20244th2/189%40%-0.49
27/11/20244th15/890%40%-0.50
12/03/20255th5/287%20%-0.67
13/04/20253rd16/116%67%+0.51
24/05/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
15/02/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
26/03/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
28/06/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19