4
Pop Art
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-01-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2015-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2015 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/01/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |