10
Pronghorn
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 96
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 64% | -0.19 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |