Shore War
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 88
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 30/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 28/12/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 26/03/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |