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3

Tirupati

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 101

Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: +4.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 01/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/12/2024 · OR 91 par1/12C?OR 91C7 @ Santa Anita 04/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark04/01/2025 · OR 91 parC6 @ Santa Anita 23/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 95 par23/02C6OR 95C0 @ Santa Anita 01/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/03/2025 · OR 100 parC1 @ Santa Anita 29/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 104 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2025 · OR 104 par29/03C1OR 104C1 @ Santa Anita 26/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 102 · 1m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 102 parC1 @ Santa Anita 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 104 · 6f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 104 par5/04C1OR 104C1 @ Santa Anita 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 103 parC6 @ Ellis Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 106 par5/07C6OR 106projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-26Santa Anita?4th-2th+5
2026-04-05Santa Anita?5th-1th+5
2025-04-26Santa Anita?7th1st+5
2025-03-29Santa Anita?1st-5th+5
2025-03-01Santa Anita?2nd-4th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/121/035/045/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/202411th50/10%0%0.00
04/01/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
23/02/20253rd15/890%80%-0.10
01/03/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
29/03/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
26/04/20257th3/184%40%-0.44
05/04/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
26/04/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
05/07/20262nd6/594%86%-0.08