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Bam's Bliss Kiss

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 79

Saratoga · Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 74 · 6f 120 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 74 par3/10C8OR 74C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 73 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Slo 119 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 77 par13/11C5OR 77C6 @ Aqueduct 10/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 7f 120 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 82 parC6 @ Aqueduct 31/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark31/12/2025 · OR 85 par31/12C6OR 85C6 @ Aqueduct 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 7f 123 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Aqueduct 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 84 par28/03C7OR 84C5 @ Aqueduct 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m 122 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 88 par27/06C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Laurel Park?6th6th0
2026-04-19Aqueduct?1st1st0
2026-03-28Aqueduct?1st3rd−2
2026-02-13Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2025-12-31Aqueduct?1st2nd−1
2025-12-10Aqueduct?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1010/1228/0327/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20253rd14/126%75%+0.49
26/10/20253rd11/271%60%-0.11
13/11/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
10/12/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
31/12/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
13/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
28/03/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
19/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
27/06/20266th9/276%0%-0.76