2

Landed

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 87

Saratoga · Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saratoga 09/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 7f Slo 120 · beat its mark09/06/2024 · OR 95 par9/06C5OR 95C5 @ Saratoga 25/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 1m1f Fas 120 · beat its mark25/08/2024 · OR 98 parC6 @ Keeneland 23/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 1m1f Fas 120 · below its mark23/10/2024 · OR 100 par23/10C6OR 100C5 @ Aqueduct 23/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 93 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark23/02/2025 · OR 93 parC6 @ Keeneland 23/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark23/04/2025 · OR 102 par23/04C6OR 102C6 @ Kentucky Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m 122 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 100 parC5 @ Aqueduct 28/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 100 · 1m 125 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 100 par28/12C5OR 100C6 @ Keeneland 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 103 · 1m1f Fas 118 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 103 parC5 @ Saratoga 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 92 · 1m1f Fas 126 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 92 par3/06C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-04-12Keeneland?2nd3rd1
2025-12-28Aqueduct?3rd3rd0
2025-09-04Kentucky Downs?4th5th1
2025-04-23Keeneland?3rd4th1
2025-02-23Aqueduct?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0623/0228/123/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20241st15/890%100%+0.10
25/08/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
23/10/20243rd7/491%75%-0.16
23/02/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
23/04/20253rd5/287%67%-0.20
04/09/20254th9/276%63%-0.14
28/12/20253rd7/491%67%-0.24
12/04/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
03/06/20266th2/189%17%-0.73